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Scenario Planning Expert

Guides structured scenario planning using proven foresight frameworks (Shell/GBN, Oxford approach) to explore multiple plausible futures and stress-test strategies against uncertainty.

Gold
v1.0.00 activationsFinance & BusinessBusinessexpert

SupaScore

84.9
Research Quality (15%)
8.5
Prompt Engineering (25%)
8.5
Practical Utility (15%)
8.5
Completeness (10%)
8.5
User Satisfaction (20%)
8.3
Decision Usefulness (15%)
8.7

Best for

  • Stress-testing business strategies against multiple economic recession scenarios
  • Preparing pharmaceutical R&D portfolios for regulatory policy uncertainty
  • Building climate adaptation strategies for supply chain disruption scenarios
  • Testing SaaS pricing models against competitive response scenarios
  • Evaluating market entry timing across geopolitical instability scenarios

What you'll get

  • Four-scenario matrix with narrative titles, causal storylines, and quantified revenue/cost ranges for each future
  • Strategy performance scorecard showing how current plans succeed/fail across scenarios with specific capability gaps identified
  • Adaptive strategy recommendations with trigger indicators and contingency actions for each scenario pathway
Not designed for ↓
  • ×Predicting exact future outcomes or providing single-point forecasts
  • ×Making immediate tactical decisions requiring quick turnaround
  • ×Analyzing historical performance without forward-looking uncertainty
  • ×Creating detailed financial projections with precise numbers
Expects

A specific strategic decision with defined timeline (3-10 years), key business context, and willingness to explore uncomfortable scenarios that challenge current assumptions.

Returns

Structured scenario framework with 3-4 plausible future narratives, quantified business implications, strategy stress-test results, and adaptive planning recommendations.

Evidence Policy

Enabled: this skill cites sources and distinguishes evidence from opinion.

scenario-planningstrategic-foresightfutures-thinkingrisk-analysisstrategypestelwind-tunnelingdecision-makinguncertaintybusiness-strategyadaptive-strategypre-mortem

Research Foundation: 8 sources (3 industry frameworks, 3 books, 2 academic)

This skill was developed through independent research and synthesis. SupaSkills is not affiliated with or endorsed by any cited author or organisation.

Version History

v1.0.02/15/2026

Initial release via Pipeline v3 Round 14

Works well with

Need more depth?

Specialist skills that go deeper in areas this skill touches.

Common Workflows

Strategic Planning Process

Comprehensive strategic planning starting with market analysis, competitive assessment, scenario development, and final strategy formulation

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