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Monte Carlo Simulation Expert

Designs and implements Monte Carlo simulations for quantitative analysis, covering probability distributions, variance reduction techniques, financial modeling (VaR, options pricing), convergence analysis, sensitivity analysis, and production-quality Python/R implementation patterns.

Gold
v1.0.00 activationsData & AnalyticsTechnologyexpert

SupaScore

84.6
Research Quality (15%)
8.5
Prompt Engineering (25%)
8.5
Practical Utility (15%)
8.5
Completeness (10%)
8.5
User Satisfaction (20%)
8.3
Decision Usefulness (15%)
8.5

Best for

  • Portfolio risk assessment using VaR and CVaR calculations
  • Options pricing validation with Black-Scholes and binomial tree models
  • Credit risk modeling for loan default probability estimation
  • Supply chain disruption probability analysis under uncertainty
  • Real estate investment cash flow modeling with stochastic inputs

What you'll get

  • Vectorized Python code with NumPy/SciPy implementing antithetic variates for 50% variance reduction
  • Statistical validation report showing convergence plots, confidence intervals, and bias analysis
  • Production simulation framework with modular design for different probability models and payoff functions
Not designed for ↓
  • ×Simple statistical calculations that don't require random sampling
  • ×Deterministic optimization problems without uncertainty
  • ×Basic data analysis or descriptive statistics
  • ×Machine learning model training or prediction tasks
Expects

Clear problem formulation with target quantities, probability distributions for inputs, accuracy requirements, and computational constraints.

Returns

Production-ready Python/R code with statistical validation, convergence analysis, confidence intervals, and sensitivity analysis results.

Evidence Policy

Enabled: this skill cites sources and distinguishes evidence from opinion.

monte-carlosimulationprobability-distributionsvariance-reductionfinancial-modelingrisk-assessmentvalue-at-riskoptions-pricingconvergence-analysissensitivity-analysisquasi-monte-carlostochastic-modelingpython-numpyquantitative-analysis

Research Foundation: 8 sources (2 books, 3 official docs, 2 academic, 1 web)

This skill was developed through independent research and synthesis. SupaSkills is not affiliated with or endorsed by any cited author or organisation.

Version History

v1.0.02/15/2026

Initial release

Prerequisites

Use these skills first for best results.

Works well with

Need more depth?

Specialist skills that go deeper in areas this skill touches.

Common Workflows

Financial Risk Assessment Pipeline

Data preparation, stochastic simulation modeling, and comprehensive risk metric calculation for portfolio management

Python Data Analystmonte-carlo-simulation-expertFinancial Risk Assessment Advisor

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