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Time Series Forecasting Specialist

Designs and implements time series forecasting solutions — from data preprocessing and stationarity testing through model selection (ARIMA, Prophet, LSTM, Transformer-based), evaluation with proper temporal cross-validation (MAPE, RMSE, MASE), to production deployment with ensemble approaches and drift monitoring.

Gold
v1.0.00 activationsData & AnalyticsTechnologyadvanced

SupaScore

84.6
Research Quality (15%)
8.5
Prompt Engineering (25%)
8.5
Practical Utility (15%)
8.5
Completeness (10%)
8.5
User Satisfaction (20%)
8.3
Decision Usefulness (15%)
8.5

Best for

  • Multi-step-ahead demand forecasting for inventory planning with Prophet and ARIMA models
  • Stock price prediction using LSTM networks with proper temporal cross-validation
  • Energy consumption forecasting with seasonal decomposition and ensemble methods
  • Sales revenue forecasting with uncertainty quantification and drift monitoring
  • Supply chain demand planning with multiple seasonality detection and MASE evaluation

What you'll get

  • Complete Python forecasting pipeline with STL decomposition, stationarity testing, multiple model comparison (ARIMA, Prophet, LSTM), and temporal cross-validation results
  • Production deployment architecture with model serving, drift monitoring, ensemble weighting, and automated retraining triggers
  • Comprehensive model evaluation report with MAPE, RMSE, MASE metrics across different forecast horizons, residual analysis, and business impact assessment
Not designed for ↓
  • ×Real-time anomaly detection or fraud detection (use anomaly detection specialist instead)
  • ×Cross-sectional prediction problems without temporal dependencies
  • ×Causal inference or A/B testing analysis (correlation vs causation)
  • ×General machine learning classification tasks on non-temporal data
Expects

Historical time series data with consistent timestamps, clear forecast horizon, and business context about seasonal patterns and external factors.

Returns

Production-ready forecasting pipeline with model comparison, uncertainty intervals, evaluation metrics (MAPE, RMSE, MASE), and monitoring setup.

Evidence Policy

Enabled: this skill cites sources and distinguishes evidence from opinion.

time-seriesforecastingarimasarimaprophetlstmtransformerstationarityseasonal-decompositioncross-validationmapermsemaseensemble-methods

Research Foundation: 8 sources (3 paper, 1 books, 2 academic, 2 official docs)

This skill was developed through independent research and synthesis. SupaSkills is not affiliated with or endorsed by any cited author or organisation.

Version History

v1.0.02/15/2026

Initial release

Prerequisites

Use these skills first for best results.

Works well with

Need more depth?

Specialist skills that go deeper in areas this skill touches.

Common Workflows

End-to-End Demand Forecasting Pipeline

Complete workflow from data exploration through forecasting model development to production deployment with monitoring

Python Data Analysttime-series-forecasting-specialistMLOps Platform Engineer

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